The Business Cycle

How will you weather the ups and downs of the business cycle?

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Latest Blog Post

Private Investment Fundamentals, and the "J-Curve"

April 23, 2026

Not every investor can, or should, allocate capital to private securities. But if they do, they need to understand the return patterns and characteristics of each investment type.

The Wrong Risk -- How Investors May Be Worried About the Wrong One

April 15, 2026

Are investors managing the right risks? They can emerge from anywhere — hitting both portfolios and the cost of living. Isn't one's living standard a risk worth managing, too?

Investors may be surprised that the "temperature" on both sides in the Iran War has continued to ratchet up. Stocks continue to get thrashed. But they need to resist the urge to take rash actions and miss an equally volatile rebound.

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